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16th September 2011 Category: Feature
Profile Images: Slattery Media Group
Of all the individual awards handed out at the conclusion of the season, Player Rater is best placed to predict the outcome of the best and fairest, because like the B&F format, the Player Rater system rewards consistency across a season.
Below are the predicted standings for each clubs Best and Fairest award.
Players that played less than 15 games, have been excluded. They include: Daniel Kerr, Heath Shaw, David Mundy and Barry Hall.
Notes:
- Carlton are the only team that had all of their top 5 rated players play 22 games this season. Richmond were the next best.
- Nick Dal Santo is a clear favourite for the St Kilda B&F. Riewoldt will likely finish outside the top 5.
- Port Adelaide was the only team without a player rated over 7 for the season.
- 3 of Fremantle’s top 5 rated players played less than 14 games (Barlow, Mundy and Sandilands).
- The top 5 players for both Collingwood and Geelong finished in the top 30 overall.
- Gary Ablett and Trent Cotchin have already been awarded their respective clubs B&F (Cotchin finished 2nd to Martin by .01 on Player Rater).
Top 5 rated players from each club in 2011:
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Adelaide:
Scott Thompson - 7.40 (22)
Rory Sloane - 6.75 (18)
Nathan van Berlo - 6.73 (22)
Bernie Vince - 6.70 (17)
Sam Jacobs - 6.66 (16)
Carlton:
Chris Judd - 7.80 (22)
Marc Murphy - 7.67 (22)
Kade Simpson - 7.15 (22)
Bryce Gibbs - 7.13 (22)
Heath Scotland - 7.11 (22)
Essendon:
Jobe Watson - 7.24 (16)
David Zaharakis - 7.10 (22)
Brent Stanton - 7.03 (20)
Dyson Heppell - 6.91 (22)
Michael Hurley - 6.81 (17)
Geelong:
Joel Selwood - 7.44 (18)
Steve Johnson - 7.43 (21)
James Kelly - 7.34 (21)
Jimmy Bartel - 7.30 (21)
Matthew Scarlett - 7.24 (19)
Hawthorn:
Lance Franklin - 7.74 (19)
Sam Mitchell - 7.72 (20)
Luke Hodge - 7.42 (19)
Cyril Rioli - 7.38 (16)
Brad Sewell - 7.12 (19)
North Melbourne:
Brent Harvey - 7.17 (22)
Todd Goldstein - 7.10 (21)
Daniel Wells - 7.10 (21)
Andrew Swallow - 6.92 (22)
Drew Petrie - 6.90 (21)
Richmond:
Dustin Martin - 7.19 (22)
Trent Cotchin - 7.18 (22)
Brett Deledio - 7.08 (22)
Jack Riewoldt - 6.85 (22)
Alex Rance - 6.59 (19)
Sydney:
Adam Goodes - 7.46 (22)
Shane Mumford - 7.24 (17)
Jude Bolton - 7.20 (20)
Ryan O'Keefe - 7.08 (22)
Jarrad McVeigh - 6.89 (20)
Western Bulldogs:
Matthew Boyd - 7.54 (22)
Ryan Griffen - 7.04 (22)
Daniel Cross - 6.96 (22)
Robert Murphy - 6.95 (21)
Daniel Giansiracusa - 6.84 (20)
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Brisbane:
Simon Black - 7.11 (22)
Jack Redden - 7.03 (22)
Tom Rockliff - 6.98 (20) Matthew Leuenberger - 6.81 (22)
Daniel Rich - 6.67 (16)
Collingwood:
Dane Swan - 7.79 (21)
Scott Pendlebury - 7.72 (22)
Dale Thomas - 7.46 (19)
Luke Ball - 7.31 (21)
Travis Cloke - 7.24 (22)
Fremantle:
Nathan Fyfe - 7.29 (21)
Matthew Pavlich - 7.09 (20)
Greg Broughton - 6.75 (21)
Stephen Hill - 6.51 (22)
Paul Duffield - 6.44 (21)
Gold Coast:
Gary Ablett - 7.76 (20)
Michael Rischitelli - 7.01 (21)
Nathan Bock - 6.81 (21)
Jared Brennan - 6.66 (22)
Jarrod Harbrow - 6.55 (22)
Melbourne:
Brent Moloney - 7.01 (22)
Jack Trengove - 6.94 (19)
Nathan Jones - 6.80 (22)
James Frawley - 6.79 (21)
Colin Sylvia - 6.64 (19)
Port Adelaide:
Travis Boak - 6.80 (21)
Robbie Gray - 6.79 (22)
Hamish Hartlett - 6.75 (16)
Justin Westhoff - 6.45 (20)
Troy Chaplin - 6.39 (21)
St Kilda:
Nick Dal Santo - 7.42 (22)
Brendon Goddard - 6.99 (22)
Sam Fisher - 6.99 (22)
Jason Gram - 6.96 (19)
Leigh Montagna - 6.88 (20)
West Coast:
Dean Cox - 7.45 (22)
Matt Priddis - 7.42 (22)
Mark LeCras - 7.23 (19)
Andrew Embley - 7.23 (22)
Josh Kennedy - 7.00 (20)
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14th September 2011 Category: Feature
FB: Leon Davis (Collingwood), Matthew Scarlett (Geelong), Josh Gibson (Hawthorn)
HB: James Kelly (Geelong), Sam Fisher (St Kilda), Nick Dal Santo (St Kilda)
C: Dale Thomas (Collingwood), Chris Judd (Carlton), Scott Pendlebury (Collingwood)
HF: Adam Goodes (Sydney), Travis Cloke (Collingwood), Nathan Fyfe (Fremantle)
FF: Steve Johnson (Geelong), Lance Franklin (Hawthorn), Mark LeCras (West Coast)
Ruck: Dean Cox (West Coast), Dane Swan (Collingwood), Gary Ablett (Gold Coast)
Int: Sam Mitchell (Hawthorn), Heath Scotland (Carlton), Andrew Embley (West Coast), Shane Mumford (Sydney)
Coach: Chris Scott (Geelong)
Selection in the Player Rater Team of the Season is based on player ratings - collected throughout the 2011 season. For the most part players have been selected in their preferred positions, the downside to this system is that highly rated players miss out on selection. Marc Murphy and Matthew Boyd (Ranked 7th and 8th overall) have missed selection in favour of true wingmen and half forwards.
The interchange has been selected by position, Mumford takes the role of back up ruckman, Mitchell - midfield, Scotland - defence, and Embley is included as the utility.
Club totals:
- 5 players: Collingwood
- 3 Players: Hawthorn, West Coast, Geelong (plus coach Chris Scott)
- 2 Players: St Kilda, Carlton, Sydney
- 1 Player: Fremantle, Gold Coast
9th September 2011 Category: Feature
Images: Slattery Media Group
Some say Murphy, some say Mitchell, some say Judd. Who was the footballer of the year for 2011? To find the answer, we’ve bought together the results of 3 major media awards - The Age Football of the Year, ABC Footballer of the Year and the Herald Sun Player of the Year.
The 3 awards and their voting structure:
Age journalists vote for their 5 best on ground. A total of 5 players receive votes, but the journalist can decide how many votes each of the top 5 receive. The maximum number of votes a player can receive is 10.
ABC commentators vote for their 3 best on ground. 3 votes for best on ground. 1 vote for the 3rd best on ground.
Herald Sun journalists vote for their 5 best on ground. 5 votes for best of ground. 1 vote for the 5th best on ground.
Earlier in the year we also included the AFLCA votes, but they can’t be included here because votes for the final 4 rounds of the AFLCA award are cast ‘in house,’ with the winner announced on September 27. Click here to see the results up to Round 19.
The contenders:
Scott Pendlebury: Third in the Herald Sun award and fourth in AFLCA award at the end of Round 20.
| The Age | ABC | Herald Sun |
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105 - Marc Murphy
105 - Gary Ablett
95 - Chris Judd
92 - Dane Swan
88 - Dean Cox
85 - Sam Mitchell
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26 - Sam Mitchell
22 - Dane Swan
22 - Adam Goodes
21 - Chris Judd
20 - Scott Pendlebury
19 - Marc Murphy
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58 - Sam Mitchell
53 - Chris Judd
50 - Scott Pendlebury
49 - Dane Swan
46 - Marc Murphy
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The voting parameters for each award vary slightly, so in order to aggregate the votes fairly, the total votes for each player in each award have been divided by the maximum number of votes available per game. For example: the maximum number of votes that can be awarded in the ABC award is 3 - so the total votes for each player in the ABC award are divided by 3.
By the system below, the footballer of the year for 2011 is... Sam Mitchell.
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The Age
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ABC
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Herald Sun
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Total
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Sam Mitchell
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8.5 (85)
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8.7 (26)
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11.6 (58)
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28.8 (111)
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Chris Judd
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9.5 (95)
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7.0 (21)
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10.6 (53)
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27.1 (116)
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Dane Swan
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9.2 (92)
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7.3 (22)
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9.8 (49)
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26.3 (114)
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Marc Murphy
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10.5 (105)
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6.3 (19)
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9.2 (46)
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26.0 (124)
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Scott Pendlebury
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8.1 (81)
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6.7 (20)
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10.0 (50)
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24.8 (101)
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5th August 2011 Category: Feature
Image: Slattery Media Group
| Player Rater | The Age | ABC | Herald Sun | AFLCA | |||||
| Chris Judd | 7.80 | Marc Murphy | 92 | Sam Mitchell | 21 | Sam Mitchell | 46 | Marc Murphy | 79 |
| Dane Swan | 7.78 | Gary Ablett | 88 | Marc Murphy | 19 | Chris Judd | 43 | Chris Judd | 70 |
| Sam Mitchell | 7.76 | Dean Cox | 88 | Dane Swan | 18 | Scott Pendlebury | 43 | Sam Mitchell | 69 |
| Scott Pendlebury | 7.75 | Chris Judd | 79 | Scott Pendlebury | 17 | Marc Murphy | 36 | Scott Pendlebury | 69 |
| Marc Murphy | 7.73 | Sam Mitchell | 70 | Chris Judd | 16 | Matthew Boyd | 34 | Gary Ablett | 66 |
| Gary Ablett | 7.67 | Joel Selwood | 62 | Brent Moloney | 16 | Nick Dal Santo | 34 | Matthew Boyd | 66 |
| Dean Cox | 7.66 | Travis Cloke | 52 | Matthew Boyd | 14 | Dane Swan | 32 | Daniel Wells | 63 |
| Lance Franklin | 7.64 | James Kelly | 52 | Dale Thomas | 14 | Brent Moloney | 30 | Dean Cox | 60 |
The total votes for each system - divided by the maximum number of votes available per game:
| PR | Age | ABC | HS | AFLCA | TOTAL | |
| Marc Murphy | 7.73 | 9.2 | 6.33 | 7.2 | 7.9 | 38.36 |
| Sam Mitchell | 7.76 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 9.2 | 6.9 | 37.86 |
| Chris Judd | 7.80 | 7.9 | 5.3 | 8.6 | 7.0 | 36.63 |
| Scott Pendlebury | 7.75 | - | 5.7 | 8.6 | 6.9 | 28.91 |
| Gary Ablett | 7.67 | 8.8 | - | - | 6.6 | 23.07 |
22nd July 2011 Category: Feature
Images: Slattery Media Group
How will your club fare at the Brownlow this season? We've converted the ratings of Player Rater users into Brownlow style 3,2,1 votes. Top rated = 3 votes // 2nd = 2 votes // 3rd = 1 vote.
The tables below only include players that have recieved 3 or more votes so far this season.
Votes by Club - up to Round 17:
| Adeladie | Brisbane | Carlton | Collingwood | Essendon | |||||
| Dangerfield, P | 4 | Redden, J | 5 | Judd, C | 22 | Pendlebury, S | 15 | Watson, J | 10 |
| Thompson, S | 4 | Banfield, T | 4 | Murphy, M | 20 | Cloke, T | 12 | Stanton, B | 6 |
| Johncock, G | 3 | Brown, J | 3 | Walker, A | 5 | Thomas, D | 11 | Zaharakis, D | 5 |
| Clark, M | 3 | Simpson, K | 3 | Swan, D | 9 | Fletcher, D | 4 | ||
| Rockliff, T | 3 | Yarran, C | 3 | Shaw, H | 7 | Hille, D | 4 | ||
| Sidebottom, S | 5 | Hocking, H | 4 | ||||||
| Wellingham, S | 5 | Heppell, D | 3 | ||||||
| Dawes, C | 4 | Monfries, A | 3 | ||||||
| Ball, L | 3 | Reimers, K | 3 | ||||||
| Blair, J | 3 | ||||||||
| Fremantle | Geelong | Gold Coast | Hawthorn | Melbourne | |||||
| Fyfe, N | 11 | Taylor, H | 11 | Ablett, G | 17 | Mitchell, S | 14 | Moloney, B | 12 |
| Pavlich, M | 9 | Selwood, J | 10 | Krakouer, N | 3 | Franklin, L | 13 | Martin, S | 7 |
| Mundy, D | 7 | Kelly, J | 7 | Rischitelli, M | 3 | Hodge, L | 11 | Frawley, J | 6 |
| Sandilands, A | 6 | Bartel, J | 6 | Rioli, C | 6 | Grimes, J | 3 | ||
| Broughton, G | 3 | Podsiadly, J | 5 | Birchall, G | 5 | Jurrah, L | 3 | ||
| Duffield, P | 3 | Enright, C | 4 | Savage, S | 4 | McKenzie, J | 3 | ||
| Griffin, J | 3 | Chapman, P | 3 | Gibson, J | 3 | ||||
| Mayne, C | 3 | Johnson, S | 3 | Guerra, B | 3 | ||||
| McPharlin, L | 3 | Menzel, D | 3 | ||||||
| Ottens, B | 3 | ||||||||
| North Melbourne | Port Adelaide | Richmond | St Kilda | Sydney | |||||
| Wells, D | 9 | Chaplin, T | 4 | Martin, D | 12 | Dal Santo, N | 13 | Bolton, J | 10 |
| Harvey, B | 8 | Gray, R | 4 | Cotchin, T | 9 | Goddard, B | 9 | Goodes, A | 9 |
| Petrie, D | 8 | Boak, T | 3 | Deledio, B | 6 | Montagna, L | 8 | O'Keefe, R | 9 |
| Goldstein, T | 5 | Rodan, D | 3 | Nahas, R | 4 | Fisher, S | 5 | McVeigh, J | 5 |
| Swallow, A | 5 | Schulz, J | 3 | Riewoldt, J | 4 | Milne, S | 4 | McGlynn, B | 3 |
| Ziebell, J | 3 | Gram, J | 3 | ||||||
| Hayes, L | 3 | ||||||||
| West Coast | Western Bulldogs | ||
| Priddis, M | 11 | Boyd, M | 15 |
| Embley, A | 9 | Griffen, R | 12 |
| Cox, D | 7 | Gilbee, L | 3 |
| Kerr, D | 6 | Higgins, S | 3 |
| Kennedy, J | 5 | ||
| Lynch, Q | 5 | ||
| LeCras, M | 4 | ||
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Hurn, S
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3
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21st July 2011 Category: Feature
Image: Slattery Media Group
According to the ratings of Player Rater users, Chris Judd - after 17 rounds - will be leading the Brownlow count. If you convert the Player Rater ratings from each game so far this season into Brownlow style 3,2,1 votes^, the numbers have Chris Judd leading the count from teammate Marc Murphy and 2009 medal winner Gary Ablett.
| Votes | Odds (Win) | Odds (Place) | |
| Judd, C | 22 | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Murphy, M | 20 | 5.50 | 2.125 |
| Ablett, G | 17 | 14.00 | 4.25 |
| Boyd, M | 15 | 15.00 | 4.50 |
| Pendlebury, S | 15 | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| Mitchell, S* | 14 | --- | --- |
| Dal Santo, N | 13 | 34.00 | 9.25 |
| Franklin, L* | 13 | --- | --- |
| Cloke, T | 12 | 41.00 | 11.00 |
| Griffen, R | 12 | 21.00 | 6.00 |
| Martin, D | 12 | 41.00 | 11.00 |
| Moloney, B* | 12 | --- | --- |
Round by round votes:
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | T | |
| Judd, C | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 22 | ||||||||
| Murphy, M | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 20 | |||||||
| Ablett, G | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17 | ||||||||
| Boyd, M | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15 | |||||||||||
| Pendlebury, S | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 15 | ||||||||||
| Mitchell, S* | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
19th July 2011 Category: Feature
Image: Slattery Media Group
Barry Hall announced today that 2011 will be his final year in AFL. Hall will without doubt be remembered as one of the great key forwards of the modern era. But his misdemeanors won’t be forgotten. Hall will go down as one of the most physically devastating players to ever play the game.
In honour of Big Bad Bustling's great career, Player Rater present's Barry's YouTube timeline:
2001 - Hawthorn v St Kilda: Hall wins the game after the siren against the Hawks in what turned out to be his last kick for the Saints before moving to the Swans.
2004 - Port Adelaide v Sydney: Michael Wilson lays a great bump on Barry.
2005 - St Kilda v Sydney: Hall gets away with a cheeky one, jabbing Matt Maguire in the stomach, freeing himself up to take an open mark.
2006 - Sydney v West Coast: Hall breaks through two would be tacklers, but then gets clotheslined by Chris Judd. Quartermain’s commentary is priceless.
2007 - Barry Hall v Broadford: Barry fronts an ad for Ford. Barry Hall… helping grass roots footy grow.
2007 - Collingwood v Sydney: Late in the game, with his side losing, Hall dumps Heath Shaw in a tackle, but Shaw gets the last laugh… “It’s over!”
2008 - Sydney v West Coast: Hall snaps, knocking out Eagles defender Brent Staker.
2008 - Sydney v West Coast: From the same game, Hall breaks the boundary line advertising board.
2008 - Rove Live: Rove thinks Barry’s “brain snap” might have been due to really cold Gatorade.
2008 - Sydney v Collingwood: After returning from suspension, Barry has another go, taking a swipe at Pies defender Shane Wakelin.
2009 - The Footy Show: Sam Newman's parody of Barry Hall for CGU.
2009 - Sydney v Adelaide (Seven News): Hall’s at it again, hitting Adelaide defender Ben Rutten.
2009 - AFL Game Day: Seven facts about Barry Hall. “Number 3: Barry Hall is so tough, sharks wear necklaces with his teeth on them.”
2010 - Bulldogs v Collingwood: Hall clips Sharrod Wellingham in a marking contest then takes to Leigh Brown and Harry O’Brien.
2010 - Collingwood v Bulldogs: Hall gives away 2 free kicks then Harry O’Brien gets stuck in and starts running his mouth. Youtube user goldensufer16 sums it up best… “if Hall was serious, harry o and several other collingwood players would be in the intensive care unit!”
2010 - Bulldogs v Hawthorn: Barry’s first goal for the Dogs!
2010 - North Melbourne v Bulldogs: After being continually aggravated, Hall finally loses it and gets Roos defender Scott Thompson in a sleeper hold, then takes on the rest of the team.
2010 - Bulldogs v Port Adelaide: Hall winds back the clock with a big pack mark.
2011 - Bulldogs v Gold Coast: The umpire helps Barry out, paying a 50 metre penalty, walking him to the goal square to kick his 700th career goal.
30th June 2011 Category: Feature
B: Heath Shaw, Michael Jamison, Matthew Scarlett
HB: Heath Scotland, Sam Fisher, Brett Deledio
C: Scott Pendlebury, Sam Mitchell, Marc Murphy
HF: Andrew Walker, Travis Cloke, Nathan Fyfe
F: Jeff Garlett, Lance Franklin, Matthew Pavlich
Ruck: Dean Cox, Chris Judd, Gary Ablett
Interchange: Brent Moloney, Dale Thomas, Matthew Boyd, Daniel Wells (sub)
Click here for the original article
B: Heath Shaw (7.19), Matthew Scarlett (7.23), Michael Jamison (7.01)
HB: Corey Enright (7.16), Harry Taylor (7.16), Nick Dal Santo (7.28)
C: Andrew Embley (7.32), Gary Ablett (7.73), Dale Thomas (7.33)
HF: Paul Chapman (7.26), Adam Goodes (7.24), Nathan Fyfe (7.31)
F: Josh Kennedy (7.16), Lance Franklin (7.71), Steve Johnson (7.34)
Ruck: Dean Cox (7.52) Sam Mitchell (7.79) Marc Murphy (7.75)
Interchange: Sam Fisher (7.04), Dane Swan (7.69), Matthew Pavlich (7.17), James Kelly (7.36) (sub)
Note: Underlined players only appear in one team.
Players that came in: Michael Jamison, Corey Enright, Gary Ablett, Marc Murphy, Josh Kennedy, Steve Johnson, Sam Fisher and Dale Thomas.
10th May 2011 Category: Feature
Herald Sun writer Mark Robinson yesterday released his All Australian team for the first 7 rounds of the season. So we thought we’d have a look at how his team compares with the Player Rater team.
For the most part the star names are the same, but there are some key differences. Interestingly the three most obvious differences involve Carlton players.
Note: In line with Robbo's selection, ratings from the St Kilda v Carlton game weren't factored in.
ROBBO'S TEAM:
B: Heath Shaw, Michael Jamison, Matthew Scarlett
HB: Heath Scotland, Dustin Fletcher, Brett Deledio
C: Scott Pendlebury, Jobe Watson, Andrew Embley
HF: Dustin Martin, Buddy Franklin, Stewart Crameri
F: Jeff Garlett, Jack Riewoldt, Adam Goodes
Ruck: Aaron Sandilands, Chris Judd, Dane Swan
Inter: Dean Cox, David Mundy, Sam Mitchell, Brent Moloney
Click here for the original article
PLAYER RATER TEAM:
B: Heath Shaw (7.4), Matthew Scarlett (7.4), James Kelly (7.3)
HB: David Mundy (7.6), Harry Taylor (7.0) Nick Dal Santo (7.4)
C: Scott Pendlebury (7.7), Dane Swan (7.7), Brent Moloney (7.5)
HF: Paul Chapman (7.4), Matthew Pavlich (7.6), Nathan Fyfe (7.3)
F: Cyril Rioli (7.9), Lance Franklin (7.5), Adam Goodes (7.2)
Ruck: Dean Cox (7.4), Chris Judd (7.9), Sam Mitchell (7.9)
Inter: Jimmy Bartel (7.7), Andrew Embley (7.5), Aaron Sandilands (7.4), Robert Murphy (7.2)
Note: Underlined players only appear in one team.
Defenders:
Michael Jamison (6.3) fell short of consideration for the PR team. A number of other key defenders including Chaplin, Rutten and Frawley were ahead in the pecking order.
Heath Scotland (6.6) was also some way off selection. In the eyes of Player Rater users Scotland's had a solid season without being spectacular.
The inclusion of Dustin Fletcher (6.9) in Robbo's team is understandable; realistically the backline would need an extra tall in place of Kelly or Dal Santo.
Nick Dal Santo's inclusion in the PR team will come as somewhat of a surprise, especially considering St Kilda's poor start. Dal Santo has rated above 6.7 in all of the 5 games he's played this season.
Midfield:
Midfielders tend to be the highest rated players on Player Rater, followed by forwards and then defenders. So a lot of highly rated players miss out due to competition. We've also tried to avoid naming midfielders out of position.
Highly rated players that didn't make the cut include: Jobe Watson (7.7), Matthew Boyd (7.6), Marc Murphy (7.6), Jude Bolton (7.6) and Matt Priddis (7.6).
Forwards:
Jack Riewoldt is the most notable omission from the PR team forward line. Riewoldt's a victim of the round by round rating system, had it not been for 2 poor games in round 2 and 3 he'd currently have a rating of 7.44 as opposed to his actual rating of 6.99. Player Rater rewards consistency and that's probably the one knock on Riewoldt at the moment.
It's fair to say that Jeff Garlett (6.3) has been underrated by Player Rater users. He too suffers from inconsistency, but also the fact that "pressure" doesn't always rate highly.
Cyril Rioli's absence from Robbo's team is an interesting one, and may have to do with the fact that he's only played 4 out of a possible 7 games. We couldn't leave him out though, in his 4 games this year he's averaged 20.5 possessions and 6 tackles and is the top rated player (7.93) through 7 rounds.
Ruck:
Cox, Sandilands and Mumford are the standout ruckmen in the league to this point. Sandilands is only slightly ahead of Mumford in the PR ratings so there's room for personal preference here. Hille and Jamar were the next closest.
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14th September 2010 Category: Feature
According to the ratings of Player Rater users Dane Swan is set be the runaway 2010 Brownlow Medal winner.
If you convert the Player Rater ratings from each game this year into Brownlow style 3,2,1 votes*, the numbers have Dane Swan winning the count by 7 votes from Luke Hodge and Chris Judd. If Swan does go on to poll 32 votes, he'll equal the record held by St Kilda's Robert Harvey (1998).
At a glance the count appears high, but the numbers aren't unprecedented. In 2007 8 players polled 20 votes or more and last year Gary Ablett polled 30 votes from only 19 games played.
Swan played all 22 home and away games in 2010 and is expected to poll in up to 14. Swan's high numbers are expected to be reached on the back of a 10 game mid-season run of votes from round 11.
*Top rated = 3 votes // 2nd = 2 votes // 3rd = 1 vote
Other predictions:
- Fremantle rookie, Michael Barlow will poll the most votes per game (1.54) and will lead the count after round 13.
- Despite missing the first 3 games of the season, Chris Judd will be at the top of the leaderboard after round 10.
Looking for a bet?
Current odds: Win (Place) - Centrebet.
Swan: $2.00 (1.25)
Ablett: $5.00 (2.00)
Hodge: $8.00 (2.75)
Judd: $15.00 (4.50)
Player Rater has Michael Barlow (20) and Matthew Pavlich (17) polling significantly better than teammate Aaron Sandilands (5).
Current odds: Most Votes (Fremantle) - Centrebet.
Sandilands: $1.42
Barlow: $3.75
Pavlich: $12.00
Player Rater has Kieren Jack (12) polling higher than teammate Adam Goodes (11).
Current odds: Most Votes (Sydney) - Centrebet.
Goodes: $1.54
Jack: $6.50
Player Rater has Michael Barlow (16), Chris Judd (16) and Matthew Pavlich (14) ahead of Gary Ablett (13) and Luke Hodge (13) after Round 11. Player Rater Brownlow Count after Round 11
Current odds: Leader after Round 11 - Centrebet.
Ablett: $1.90
Hodge: $5.50
Barlow: $9.00
Judd: $11.00
Pavlich: $51.00